The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ban9PivoSamogonloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 18 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 15 games
Abaddonsignature
Daxak · 13 games
Batridersignature
prblms · 13 games
Enchantress
Rein · 13 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 12 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
Ban9PivoSamogon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 537 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 647 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 450 bans
Ancient Apparition
296 picks · 669 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 222 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:17
Virtus.pro 77%Ban9PivoSamogon 23%
The model gave 77% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 48:03.
Game 2prediction correct23:29
Virtus.pro 77%Ban9PivoSamogon 23%
The model gave 77% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 56:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 77%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2