Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Tinysignature
sayuw · 30 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 24 games
Batridersignature
sayuw · 23 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Fng · 23 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 20 games
Mirana
Fng · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 20 games
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 20 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
324 picks · 366 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 351 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 429 bans
Weaver
308 picks · 517 bans
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 406 bans
Crystal Maiden
299 picks · 112 bans
Rubick
296 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 49%
Hero pool strength55% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:27
Virtus.pro 48%G2 Invictus Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 54:25.
Game 2prediction missed28:15
Virtus.pro 48%G2 Invictus Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 30:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2