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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 19 games
53%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
76%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 14 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 13 games
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 12 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
sayuw · 11 games
82%
Puck
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 10 games
60%

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 17 games
53%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 14 games
86%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 13 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 12 games
67%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
366 picks · 321 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 479 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 313 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 385 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
257 picks · 143 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
257 picks · 344 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
256 picks · 174 bans
55%
Magnus
Magnus
249 picks · 469 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:24
Virtus.pro 37%Gaimin Gladiators 63%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingKiritych
46% · 171 game47% · 122 games
Svendyrachyo
Sven
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
51% · 162 games51% · 187 games
Void SpiritQuinn
Void Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerSquad1x
50% · 192 games52% · 266 games
MagnusAce
Magnus
Rubick
Rubicksayuw
41% · 269 games56% · 107 games
GyrocoptertOfu
Gyrocopter
Enigma
EnigmaFng
52% · 72 games56% · 184 games
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct17:30
Virtus.pro 38%Gaimin Gladiators 62%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 43:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKiritych
47% · 102 games48% · 76 games
Troll Warlorddyrachyo
Troll Warlord
Tiny
TinySquad1x
50% · 220 games52% · 151 game
PuckQuinn
Puck
Razor
RazorNoticed
50% · 60 games49% · 154 games
MagnusAce
Magnus
Windranger
Windrangersayuw
55% · 221 game56% · 244 games
TechiestOfu
Techies
Mirana
MiranaFng
50% · 196 games43% · 174 games
UndyingSeleri
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 76%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2