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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 3:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 3:0
HULIGANIloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
79%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
82%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Squad1x · 10 games
60%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 10 games
80%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Squad1x · 10 games
80%

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 5 games
60%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 3 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 3 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
RodjER · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kasane · 2 games
100%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
263 picks · 444 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
241 picks · 381 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
232 picks · 308 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
215 picks · 101 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
212 picks · 201 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
193 picks · 363 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
189 picks · 521 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:6
Virtus.pro 59%HULIGANI 41%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 24:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
45% · 271 game48% · 227 games
MorphlingRAMZES666
Morphling
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
42% · 93 games55% · 43 games
Razorkasane
Razor
Magnus
MagnusNoticed
50% · 130 games54% · 98 games
Invokerkiyotaka
Invoker
Pugna
Pugnasayuw
56% · 148 games50% · 192 games
TinyImmersion
Tiny
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritFng
48% · 78 games53% · 160 games
Shadow DemonRodjER
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct26:6
Virtus.pro 56%HULIGANI 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 26:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistKiritych
44% · 77 games57% · 291 game
Death Prophetkiyotaka
Death Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
46% · 113 games58% · 420 games
Beastmasterkasane
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
44% · 280 games53% · 149 games
Faceless VoidRAMZES666
Faceless Void
Rubick
Rubicksayuw
49% · 557 games54% · 139 games
LionImmersion
Lion
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenFng
39% · 116 games55% · 144 games
Dark WillowRodjER
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct38:25
Virtus.pro 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 40:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
54% · 100 games47% · 149 games
Magnuskiyotaka
Magnus
Razor
RazorNoticed
46% · 55 games53% · 102 games
Dragon Knightkasane
Dragon Knight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSquad1x
49% · 150 games52% · 162 games
MorphlingRAMZES666
Morphling
Tiny
Tinysayuw
47% · 274 games52% · 200 games
Nature's ProphetRodjER
Nature's Prophet
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenFng
53% · 104 games48% · 70 games
GrimstrokeImmersion
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 64%
Series resultVirtus.pro 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3