BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Noticed · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 12 games
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
LGD Gaming
Phoenixsignature
y` · 10 games
Lionsignature
Pyw · 9 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 8 games
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 7 games
Weaversignature
shiro · 7 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 6 games
Doomsignature
niu · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 558 bans
Lion
317 picks · 275 bans
Vengeful Spirit
316 picks · 247 bans
Phoenix
314 picks · 455 bans
Magnus
278 picks · 443 bans
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 773 bans
Grimstroke
274 picks · 459 bans
Faceless Void
272 picks · 662 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 39%
Hero pool strength53% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:35
Virtus.pro 58%LGD Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 34:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusNoticed
Naga Sirenshiro
PuckSquad1x
Outworld DestroyerSetsu
PudgeKiritych
Primal Beastniu
Shadow Demonsayuw
Enigmay`
WindrangerFng
BatriderPyw
Game 2prediction correct31:10
Virtus.pro 56%LGD Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 33:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingKiritych
PuckSetsu
TinySquad1x
Meeposhiro
MarsNoticed
Primal Beastniu
UndyingFng
Phoenixy`
Hoodwinksayuw
LionPyw
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2