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Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Tiny
Tinysignature
Noticed · 30 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 20 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
Fng · 20 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 20 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Fng · 18 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
sayuw · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 16 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
Noticed · 15 games
60%

LGD Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
niu · 19 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 19 games
32%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Pyw · 16 games
81%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Echo · 14 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Pyw · 14 games
43%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
niu · 13 games
62%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 13 games
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Pyw · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
398 picks · 857 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
396 picks · 394 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
378 picks · 284 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
366 picks · 777 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 474 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 530 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
325 picks · 664 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 376 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 31%
Hero pool strength51% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
Virtus.pro 43%LGD Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightKiritych
44% · 194 games49% · 135 games
Troll Warlordshiro
Troll Warlord
Puck
PuckSquad1x
59% · 173 games53% · 70 games
Shadow FiendEcho
Shadow Fiend
Dark Seer
Dark SeerNoticed
52% · 203 games46% · 301 game
Pangolierniu
Pangolier
Phoenix
PhoenixRein
49% · 224 games51% · 78 games
Spirit BreakerPyw
Spirit Breaker
48% · 210 games
Sveny`
Sven
Game 2prediction correct22:34
Virtus.pro 43%LGD Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightKiritych
49% · 147 games53% · 115 games
Troll Warlordshiro
Troll Warlord
Pangolier
PangolierSquad1x
49% · 253 games42% · 94 games
Earth SpiritEcho
Earth Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
53% · 206 games55% · 212 games
Brewmasterniu
Brewmaster
Snapfire
SnapfireRein
42% · 122 games56% · 215 games
WeaverPyw
Weaver
50% · 92 games
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 61%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2