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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Night Pulseloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Tiny
Tinysignature
Antares · 14 games
79%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Kiritych · 13 games
31%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 11 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fng · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Antares · 9 games
44%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Fng · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 9 games
11%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Noticed · 9 games
56%

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
48%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 18 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 453 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
325 picks · 314 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
321 picks · 374 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
316 picks · 268 bans
54%
Windranger
Windranger
290 picks · 403 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 454 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
283 picks · 487 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:3
Virtus.pro 52%Night Pulse 48%
The model gave 52% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 17:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKiritych
52% · 120 games52% · 223 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
44% · 257 games55% · 56 games
BroodmotherKami
Broodmother
Invoker
InvokerSquad1x
55% · 99 games49% · 114 games
Void SpiritWorick
Void Spirit
Leshrac
LeshracAntares
48% · 116 games46% · 290 games
BatriderJANTER
Batrider
Phoenix
PhoenixImmersion
48% · 146 games55% · 55 games
OmniknightHduo
Omniknight
Game 2prediction missed23:11
Virtus.pro 50%Night Pulse 50%
The model gave 50% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 32:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingKiritych
48% · 302 games46% · 132 games
SvenV-Tune
Sven
Invoker
InvokerSquad1x
53% · 136 games52% · 87 games
Sand KingKami
Sand King
Underlord
UnderlordNoticed
49% · 132 games49% · 202 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinAntares
48% · 102 games49% · 160 games
HoodwinkJANTER
Hoodwink
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorImmersion
53% · 87 games53% · 178 games
EnchantressHduo
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 52%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2