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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 1:2
series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 30 games
37%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 21 game
38%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Abed · 19 games
42%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 18 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
47%

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
80%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 28 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
68%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
83%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 444 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
451 picks · 657 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
443 picks · 517 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
393 picks · 348 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 384 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 497 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
316 picks · 982 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 80%
Hero pool strength66% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total94% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:26
Virtus.pro 19%PARIVISION 81%
The model gave 81% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 49:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTimado
56% · 232 games50% · 218 games
Nature's ProphetSatanic
Nature's Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
50% · 310 games47% · 350 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAbed
54% · 330 games49% · 310 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Ringmaster
RingmasterHellscream
51% · 236 games46% · 165 games
Skywrath Mage9Class
Skywrath Mage
Clockwerk
ClockwerkFly
45% · 210 games53% · 275 games
BaneDukalis
Bane
Game 2prediction correct11:28
Virtus.pro 21%PARIVISION 79%
The model gave 79% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaTimado
51% · 189 games47% · 439 games
TinySatanic
Tiny
Puck
PuckAbed
53% · 439 games52% · 344 games
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Tidehunter
TidehunterSabeRLight-
56% · 233 games48% · 44 games
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
42% · 174 games43% · 181 game
SilencerDukalis
Silencer
Bane
BaneFly
59% · 232 games49% · 259 games
Ringmaster9Class
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct8:29
Virtus.pro 19%PARIVISION 81%
The model gave 81% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 28:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckAbed
51% · 161 game65% · 11 games
MeepoSatanic
Meepo
Largo
LargoSabeRLight-
48% · 64 games52% · 41 game
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
Earth Spirit
Spectre
SpectreTimado
63% · 4 games51% · 192 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Rubick
RubickHellscream
42% · 103 games55% · 144 games
Keeper of the Light9Class
Keeper of the Light
Phoenix
PhoenixFly
47% · 105 games47% · 49 games
MiranaDukalis
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 94%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3