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PREMIER SERIES · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Power Rangersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 34 games
41%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 23 games
43%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 23 games
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Muerta
Muerta
Timado · 16 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 16 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 16 games
63%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 19 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 16 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 14 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
674 picks · 821 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
560 picks · 555 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 418 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
464 picks · 326 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
412 picks · 1137 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 673 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
392 picks · 611 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
391 picks · 1019 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 62%
Hero pool strength58% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total58% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:36
Virtus.pro 58%Power Rangers 42%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 55:56.
Game 2prediction correct23:3
Virtus.pro 58%Power Rangers 42%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 20:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 58%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2