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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 1:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PSG Questwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Tiny
Tiny
yamich · 20 games
40%
Marci
Marcisignature
yamich · 14 games
86%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Xakoda · 13 games
62%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 13 games
62%
Lina
Linasignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Xakoda · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 12 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 12 games
50%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 10 games
90%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
100%
Tiny
Tiny
OmaR · 5 games
60%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kaori · 5 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
No!ob · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Kaori · 4 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Wuiter · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
413 picks · 421 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
394 picks · 378 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
391 picks · 264 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
301 picks · 309 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
260 picks · 306 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
243 picks · 127 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
215 picks · 153 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
207 picks · 575 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 81%
Hero pool strength59% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:25
Virtus.pro 56%PSG Quest 44%
The model gave 56% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 53:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone Druidkrylat
46% · 27 games47% · 63 games
SlarkTA2000
Slark
Tiny
TinySquad1x
51% · 289 games48% · 155 games
KunkkaNo!ob
Kunkka
Magnus
MagnusNoticed
44% · 29 games49% · 117 games
TidehunterWuiter
Tidehunter
Rubick
Rubicksayuw
51% · 199 games52% · 198 games
Treant ProtectorKaori
Treant Protector
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
50% · 84 games55% · 95 games
Shadow DemonOmaR
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct31:16
Virtus.pro 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 41:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetkrylat
48% · 97 games51% · 282 games
Ember SpiritNo!ob
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSquad1x
54% · 153 games62% · 50 games
RikiTA2000
Riki
Tidehunter
TidehunterNoticed
41% · 67 games54% · 46 games
MagnusWuiter
Magnus
Rubick
Rubicksayuw
45% · 178 games52% · 94 games
SilencerKaori
Silencer
Hoodwink
HoodwinkDukalis
46% · 168 games51% · 191 game
Keeper of the LightOmaR
Keeper of the Light
Game 3prediction missed4:27
Virtus.pro 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 38:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanNoticed
58% · 84 games42% · 60 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Leshrac
LeshracSquad1x
52% · 160 games44% · 273 games
Death ProphetNo!ob
Death Prophet
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightkrylat
55% · 162 games46% · 48 games
Night StalkerWuiter
Night Stalker
Rubick
Rubicksayuw
55% · 261 game47% · 275 games
SnapfireOmaR
Snapfire
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
52% · 202 games49% · 213 games
ClockwerkKaori
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 65%
Series resultPSG Quest 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3