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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Virtus.prowin 1:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Lynxloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 38 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 25 games
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 24 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 16 games
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 15 games
53%

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 21 game
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
65%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
70%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 16 games
69%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 16 games
63%
Ursa
Ursasignature
7jesu · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
678 picks · 844 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 431 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1144 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
405 picks · 689 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 622 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 66%
Hero pool strength58% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Virtus.pro 51%Team Lynx 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 51%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1