?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Daxak · 24 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Lorenof · 23 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 20 games
50%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Rein · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Daxak · 17 games
59%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Daxak · 15 games
73%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 13 games
85%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 13 games
69%

Team Yandex

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 5 games
40%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 4 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Noticed · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
prblms · 2 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
prblms · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
474 picks · 515 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
470 picks · 501 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
390 picks · 211 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
369 picks · 363 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
358 picks · 770 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 528 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
348 picks · 233 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
328 picks · 516 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 22%
Hero pool strength57% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:34
Virtus.pro 54%Team Yandex 46%
The model gave 54% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeV-Tune
46% · 346 games46% · 216 games
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckLorenof
47% · 261 game54% · 308 games
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
Ember Spirit
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDaxak
51% · 123 games45% · 138 games
DawnbreakerNoticed
Dawnbreaker
Rubick
RubickAntares
51% · 136 games56% · 262 games
Muertaprblms
Muerta
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanRein
44% · 221 game59% · 163 games
Naga SirenSolo
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction missed8:34
Virtus.pro 59%Team Yandex 41%
The model gave 59% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 37:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinV-Tune
52% · 174 games48% · 141 game
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Nature's Prophet
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLorenof
52% · 64 games52% · 196 games
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDaxak
58% · 138 games38% · 105 games
DawnbreakerNoticed
Dawnbreaker
Axe
AxeAntares
50% · 62 games48% · 101 game
Marciprblms
Marci
Warlock
WarlockRein
53% · 147 games51% · 42 games
Ogre MagiSolo
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 61%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2