Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
VooDooSh Teamwin 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
By_Owl Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
VooDooSh Team
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
Necrophosoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Ogre Magi
VooDooSh · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mariachi · 2 games
Warlock
VooDooSh · 2 games
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 1 game
By_Owl Team
Invokeroften banned
avice · 4 games
Luna
Koma` · 4 games
Rubick
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Bristlebackoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
Dazzle
by_Owl · 3 games
Juggernaut
Koma` · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
reira · 3 games
Phantom Assassin
Koma` · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
628 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
592 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
432 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 478 bans
Tiny
399 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 493 bans
Puck
319 picks · 967 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:24
VooDooSh Team 50%By_Owl Team 50%
The model gave 50% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 25:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersawkolya_kaBAN68
TerrorbladeKoma`
Templar AssassinMariachi
Ember Spiritavice
Snapfireybicanoooobov
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
Ogre MagiVooDooSh
Techiesrostikfacekid
RingmasterShishak
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
Game 2prediction missed44:17
VooDooSh Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerMariachi
LunaKoma`
Windrangerybicanoooobov
Keeper of the Lightavice
Axekolya_kaBAN68
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
SnapfireShishak
Undyingby_Owl
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
Techiesrostikfacekid
Game 3prediction missed71:53
VooDooSh Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 1:18:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyMariachi
Shadow FiendKoma`
Doomkolya_kaBAN68
Bristlebackblindzone
Viperybicanoooobov
Puckavice
HoodwinkShishak
Techiesrostikfacekid
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 53%
Series resultVooDooSh Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3