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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
VooDooSh Teamloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GoodWin Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VooDooSh Team

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Levsky · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Smiling Knight · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ZipZzzap · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
VooDooSh · 1 game
0%

GoodWin Team

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 6 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 4 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Leviamur · 3 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Rayx · 3 games
33%
Magnus
Magnus
Rayx · 3 games
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
BOOKER · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
415 picks · 377 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
382 picks · 193 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 888 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
313 picks · 357 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 234 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
280 picks · 138 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
278 picks · 678 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
275 picks · 807 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:48
VooDooSh Team 37%GoodWin Team 63%
The model gave 63% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 59:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSmiling Knight
49% · 43 games50% · 50 games
Troll WarlordMariachi
Troll Warlord
Pangolier
PangolierLimitless
45% · 100 games51% · 113 games
LeshracRayx
Leshrac
Invoker
InvokerZipZzzap
45% · 70 games47% · 32 games
OmniknightNoticed
Omniknight
Disruptor
DisruptorVooDooSh
55% · 74 games55% · 113 games
AlchemistGoodWin
Alchemist
Lion
LionLevsky
46% · 55 games56% · 34 games
Chaos KnightBOOKER
Chaos Knight
Game 2prediction correct5:25
VooDooSh Team 38%GoodWin Team 62%
The model gave 62% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 25:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerLimitless
52% · 130 games51% · 112 games
Dragon KnightMariachi
Dragon Knight
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerSmiling Knight
25% · 4 games53% · 98 games
InvokerRayx
Invoker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritZipZzzap
46% · 97 gameslittle data
Legion CommanderNoticed
Legion Commander
Disruptor
DisruptorVooDooSh
50% · 159 games54% · 99 games
BaneGoodWin
Bane
Weaver
WeaverLevsky
44% · 37 games51% · 118 games
ClockwerkBOOKER
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct11:30
VooDooSh Team 37%GoodWin Team 63%
The model gave 63% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 40:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
54% · 61 game51% · 86 games
LunaMariachi
Luna
Batrider
BatriderLimitless
46% · 173 games33% · 35 games
OmniknightNoticed
Omniknight
Windranger
WindrangerZipZzzap
62% · 13 games52% · 102 games
Void SpiritRayx
Void Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkLevsky
49% · 119 games56% · 109 games
AlchemistGoodWin
Alchemist
Disruptor
DisruptorVooDooSh
47% · 66 games52% · 100 games
Ogre MagiBOOKER
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 72%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3