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Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigyloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Most Wantedwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 7 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 5 games
40%
Axe
Axe
takizawa · 4 games
25%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 4 games
25%

Most Wanted

Tusk
Tusksignature
Ponlo · 22 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Ponlo · 17 games
82%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
73%
Marci
Marcisignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
80%
Chen
Chensignature
Rein · 14 games
86%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Rein · 14 games
86%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
niche · 14 games
79%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
fortniteMan · 14 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
777 picks · 356 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
594 picks · 300 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
553 picks · 444 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 547 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
544 picks · 661 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
508 picks · 305 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
492 picks · 747 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
477 picks · 537 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 69%
Hero pool strength70% Most Wanted
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total87% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:33
VP.Prodigy 25%Most Wanted 75%
The model gave 75% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted in 36:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingcutie
56% · 205 games47% · 277 games
Terrorblade423
Terrorblade
Axe
Axetakizawa
48% · 169 games52% · 150 games
DoomfortniteMan
Doom
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainSerenada
44% · 248 games54% · 150 games
Slardarniche
Slardar
Windranger
Windrangerraregods
49% · 160 games47% · 375 games
TuskPonlo
Tusk
Enchantress
EnchantressJANTER
52% · 170 games
Game 2prediction correct27:35
VP.Prodigy 26%Most Wanted 74%
The model gave 74% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted in 38:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddoncutie
45% · 214 games51% · 380 games
Gyrocopter423
Gyrocopter
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSerenada
51% · 327 games52% · 293 games
Ember Spiritniche
Ember Spirit
Sand King
Sand Kingtakizawa
54% · 189 games44% · 286 games
MarsfortniteMan
Mars
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterraregods
50% · 110 games47% · 75 games
Skywrath MagePonlo
Skywrath Mage
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonJANTER
58% · 194 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 87%
Series resultMost Wanted 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2