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FISSURE Universe: Episode 8. Открытая квалификация · BO1
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigywin 1:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Axe
Axeoften banned
takizawa · 15 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 10 games
40%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
cutie · 9 games
56%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
raregods · 9 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 9 games
44%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 9 games
44%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 9 games
22%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 19 games
47%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 15 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Underlord
Underlord
Covisnine · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
540 picks · 798 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
502 picks · 357 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 639 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
452 picks · 566 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
380 picks · 719 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 566 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
342 picks · 468 bans
49%
Slardar
Slardar
325 picks · 913 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total52% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:28
VP.Prodigy 48%Nemiga Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 47:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 52%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1