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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigyloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Bald Rebornwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 29 games
34%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 26 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Largo
Largooften banned
takizawa · 17 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
cutie · 17 games
65%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 16 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 16 games
50%

Team Bald Reborn

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
bengan · 4 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
mrls · 4 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 4 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Sancity · 3 games
67%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Xibbe · 3 games
100%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Sancity · 3 games
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Shad · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
641 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
592 picks · 334 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
466 picks · 545 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
421 picks · 369 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
353 picks · 510 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
349 picks · 399 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
333 picks · 1019 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:29
VP.Prodigy 38%Team Bald Reborn 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 40:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzcutie
53% · 23 games49% · 75 games
DawnbreakerShad
Dawnbreaker
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSerenada
49% · 88 games50% · 38 games
LycanXibbe
Lycan
Undying
UndyingMiyaoo
50% · 119 games50% · 152 games
PuckSancity
Puck
Techies
Techiesraregods
51% · 100 games51% · 106 games
Rubickmrls
Rubick
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernJANTER
49% · 57 games43% · 16 games
Witch Doctorbengan
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct26:56
VP.Prodigy 39%Team Bald Reborn 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 45:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendcutie
54% · 222 games52% · 207 games
DoomShad
Doom
Snapfire
SnapfireSerenada
56% · 238 games49% · 309 games
Queen of PainSancity
Queen of Pain
Axe
AxeMiyaoo
41% · 181 game46% · 178 games
UndyingXibbe
Undying
Ringmaster
Ringmasterraregods
48% · 143 games45% · 81 game
Grimstrokebengan
Grimstroke
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJANTER
53% · 153 games53% · 162 games
Lionmrls
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 71%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2