The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWHGloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FEFuture Esportwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WHG
No games played over 6 months.
Future Esport
Oracleoften banned
LOyd · 2 games
Axe
Irving · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Irving · 1 game
Clockwerk
LOyd · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Night · 1 game
Jakiro
LOyd · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
479 picks · 562 bans
Ringmaster
448 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 700 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 484 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 718 bans
Tusk
302 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Future Esport
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Future Esport
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:57
WHG 46%Future Esport 54%
The model gave 54% on Future Esport — the game was taken by Future Esport in 43:38.
Game 2prediction correct4:17
WHG 46%Future Esport 54%
The model gave 54% on Future Esport — the game was taken by Future Esport in 14:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteFuture Esport · 54%
Series resultFuture Esport 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2