The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWHGloss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TCTeam Curtainwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WHG
No games played over 6 months.
Team Curtain
Kunkkaoften banned
Summer · 2 games
Lion
Hara · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Nevermine · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Shanks · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Shanks · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
479 picks · 562 bans
Ringmaster
449 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 704 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 485 bans
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 719 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% WHG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Curtain
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:21
WHG 40%Team Curtain 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Curtain — the game was taken by Team Curtain in 38:37.
Game 2prediction correct18:26
WHG 40%Team Curtain 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Curtain — the game was taken by Team Curtain in 39:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Curtain · 60%
Series resultTeam Curtain 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2