White Dragons vs TeamCompromiso — prediction DS2ОК · Dota 2

DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

WDWhite Dragonsloss 0:2

series probability

34%66%

probability at match start · final 0:2

TTeamCompromisowin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

White Dragons

No games played over 6 months.

TeamCompromiso

Zeus

Panda · 9 games

56%

Beastmasteroften banned

DaaD- · 5 games

80%

Magnusoften banned

DaaD- · 5 games

40%

Batrideroften banned

Genek · 4 games

25%

Muerta

Genek · 4 games

75%

Nyx Assassinoften banned

Genek · 4 games

50%

Lycanoften banned

kendallx · 3 games

67%

Terrorbladeoften banned

Adrx · 3 games

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Tiny

522 picks · 717 bans

48%

Muerta

429 picks · 313 bans

52%

Phoenix

426 picks · 701 bans

52%

Clockwerk

409 picks · 399 bans

52%

Phantom Assassin

379 picks · 647 bans

52%

Bristleback

378 picks · 871 bans

58%

Magnus

378 picks · 1003 bans

58%

Pangolier

364 picks · 507 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 53%

Hero pool strength51% TeamCompromiso

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total66% TeamCompromiso

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct10:32

White Dragons 40%TeamCompromiso 60%

The model gave 60% on TeamCompromiso — the game was taken by TeamCompromiso in 26:43.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo