DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWhiteIceloss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GGladiatorTeamswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WhiteIce
No games played over 6 months.
GladiatorTeams
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
512 picks · 708 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
422 picks · 310 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 631 bans
Bristleback
376 picks · 864 bans
Magnus
375 picks · 991 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 501 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% WhiteIce
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% WhiteIce
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:35
WhiteIce 60%GladiatorTeams 40%
The model gave 60% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by GladiatorTeams in 37:57.
Game 2prediction correct29:23
WhiteIce 60%GladiatorTeams 40%
The model gave 60% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by WhiteIce in 34:29.
Game 3prediction missed34:29
WhiteIce 60%GladiatorTeams 40%
The model gave 60% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by GladiatorTeams in 38:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteWhiteIce · 60%
Series resultGladiatorTeams 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3