DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Get Rektloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Get Rekt
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
411 picks · 530 bans
Muerta
401 picks · 332 bans
Tusk
366 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 580 bans
Lion
350 picks · 173 bans
Batrider
344 picks · 430 bans
Beastmaster
334 picks · 786 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:17
Wildcard Gaming 83%Get Rekt 17%
The model gave 83% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 28:12.
Game 2prediction correct8:24
Wildcard Gaming 83%Get Rekt 17%
The model gave 83% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 19:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 83%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2