BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OOsmiumloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Grimstroke
The Warden · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Osmium
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 467 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 758 bans
Sand King
345 picks · 467 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 488 bans
Storm Spirit
301 picks · 436 bans
Pangolier
293 picks · 439 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:14
Wildcard Gaming 59%Osmium 41%
The model gave 59% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Osmium in 24:45.
Game 2prediction missed41:17
Wildcard Gaming 59%Osmium 41%
The model gave 59% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Osmium in 42:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 59%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2