FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TMTaiLung Mafiawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Tusk
Bignum · 24 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 23 games
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 22 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 19 games
Bane
Bignum · 18 games
Doomsignature
YamSun · 15 games
TaiLung Mafia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
299 picks · 748 bans
Disruptor
290 picks · 261 bans
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
Pugna
261 picks · 280 bans
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 697 bans
Tusk
253 picks · 243 bans
Marci
252 picks · 703 bans
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 579 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 73%TaiLung Mafia 27%
The model gave 73% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by TaiLung Mafia.
Game 2prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 73%TaiLung Mafia 27%
The model gave 73% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by TaiLung Mafia.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 73%
Series resultTaiLung Mafia 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2