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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 6 games
83%
Luna
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
83%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Ark · 5 games
60%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
80%

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
31%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 12 games
58%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 652 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 493 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
445 picks · 272 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
426 picks · 575 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
369 picks · 433 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
368 picks · 621 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 548 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
342 picks · 810 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 39%
Hero pool strength58% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total63% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:12
Wildcard Gaming 63%Team DogChamp 37%
The model gave 63% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 28:01.
Game 2prediction missed26:37
Wildcard Gaming 63%Team DogChamp 37%
The model gave 63% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 30:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 63%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2