BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 17 games
Tinysignature
The Warden · 14 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 10 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 9 games
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 8 games
Team DogChamp
Bane
Bloody Nine · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 10 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 10 games
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 10 games
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
Keeper of the Light
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Clockwerk
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
372 picks · 593 bans
Undying
318 picks · 564 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 200 bans
Primal Beast
244 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 336 bans
Enigma
222 picks · 720 bans
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 250 bans
Death Prophet
205 picks · 301 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total60% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:12
Wildcard Gaming 60%Team DogChamp 40%
The model gave 60% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 27:39.
Game 2prediction missed29:34
Wildcard Gaming 60%Team DogChamp 40%
The model gave 60% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 31:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 60%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2