BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Grimstroke
The Warden · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
The Cut
Bristleback
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Techies
bgod · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Hoodwink
bgod · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 276 bans
Mars
430 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 458 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 741 bans
Sand King
328 picks · 455 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 473 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 422 bans
Pangolier
285 picks · 430 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 20%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total70% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 70%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect