?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yoru Ryodanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 22 games
36%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 14 games
71%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 14 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 14 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 12 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fayde · 11 games
45%

Yoru Ryodan

Lion
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
487 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
483 picks · 566 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
351 picks · 714 bans
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 729 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
314 picks · 491 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 255 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
293 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 78%
Hero pool strength55% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:15
Wildcard Gaming 75%Yoru Ryodan 25%
The model gave 75% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 25:29.
Game 2prediction correct39:14
Wildcard Gaming 75%Yoru Ryodan 25%
The model gave 75% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 27:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 75%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2