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European Pro League Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 23 games
35%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 20 games
80%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
45%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%

Zero Tenacity

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 23 games
26%
Puck
Pucksignature
Stojkov · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 23 games
39%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 22 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 21 game
52%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nande · 21 game
33%
Warlock
Warlock
LeBronDota · 21 game
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
523 picks · 553 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 427 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
361 picks · 383 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
342 picks · 512 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
319 picks · 711 bans
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
314 picks · 567 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
310 picks · 197 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 440 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 49%
Hero pool strength54% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 74%Zero Tenacity 26%
The model gave 74% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 74%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1