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European Pro League Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Bignum · 25 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 22 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tiny
RCY · 22 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 21 game
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
58%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%

Zero Tenacity

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Stojkov · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
Stojkov · 23 games
39%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 21 game
52%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nande · 21 game
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 20 games
30%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 20 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
562 picks · 568 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 416 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
377 picks · 392 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 523 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
332 picks · 198 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 723 bans
45%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
325 picks · 609 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 441 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 51%
Hero pool strength54% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total61% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 61%Zero Tenacity 39%
The model gave 61% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction missed
Wildcard Gaming 61%Zero Tenacity 39%
The model gave 61% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 61%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2