Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winstrike Team
Phoenix
yamich · 18 games
Pucksignature
re1bl · 14 games
Clockwerk
yamich · 12 games
Lion
yamich · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 12 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
dyrachyo · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
re1bl · 10 games
Timbersawsignature
chshrct · 10 games
AS Monaco Gambit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
PuberrrR · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
xannii · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
457 picks · 180 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 193 bans
Mars
341 picks · 545 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 479 bans
Puck
318 picks · 805 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 617 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 234 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 33%
Hero pool strength59% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total54% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 54%
Series resultWinstrike Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect