?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
Noticed · 18 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 17 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 13 games
69%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 13 games
77%
Bane
Bane
Panto · 12 games
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
SoNNeikO · 11 games
64%

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 19 games
21%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 18 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
v1olent- · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
523 picks · 367 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
462 picks · 656 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
413 picks · 512 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
408 picks · 861 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 189 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
322 picks · 528 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
319 picks · 491 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
266 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 12%
Hero pool strength59% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total83% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:11
Winstrike Team 70%B8 Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 36:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaLarl
47% · 141 game51% · 219 games
Wraith Kingv1olent-
Wraith King
Visage
VisageDaxak
25% · 15 games54% · 290 games
PuckDendi
Puck
Mars
MarsNoticed
51% · 367 games45% · 52 games
JakiropJonn
Jakiro
Bane
BaneSoNNeikO
56% · 174 games53% · 241 game
Monkey KingLagoona
Monkey King
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkillusion
48% · 105 games
Game 2prediction correct42:21
Winstrike Team 71%B8 Esports 29%
The model gave 71% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 41:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenDaxak
41% · 23 games51% · 168 games
Kunkkav1olent-
Kunkka
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
43% · 184 games46% · 154 games
Storm SpiritDendi
Storm Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroNoticed
55% · 34 games64% · 41 game
SlardarpJonn
Slardar
Weaver
WeaverSoNNeikO
46% · 183 games55% · 132 games
IoLagoona
Io
Clockwerk
Clockwerkillusion
51% · 71 game
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 83%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2