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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Brameloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
chshrct · 17 games
65%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 17 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 13 games
77%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 10 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
mellojul · 10 games
70%

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
60%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 19 games
53%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
79%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
69%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
W1sh- · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
517 picks · 367 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
464 picks · 661 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
406 picks · 855 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
402 picks · 504 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
315 picks · 524 bans
55%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
304 picks · 479 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 352 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:10
Winstrike Team 49%Brame 51%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 25:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaDaxak
56% · 156 games54% · 185 games
Wraith KingNefrit
Wraith King
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
46% · 194 games42% · 213 games
LinaW1sh-
Lina
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
56% · 133 games50% · 69 games
ViperSkyLark
Viper
Jakiro
JakiroSoNNeikO
53% · 42 games43% · 36 games
DawnbreakerLil
Dawnbreaker
Bane
Baneforcemajor
53% · 171 game46% · 193 games
Death ProphetSsaSpartan
Death Prophet
Game 2prediction correct29:41
Winstrike Team 49%Brame 51%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 51:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaDaxak
52% · 187 games50% · 203 games
TerrorbladeNefrit
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckLarl
47% · 269 games49% · 253 games
Queen of PainW1sh-
Queen of Pain
Jakiro
JakiroNoticed
44% · 39 games53% · 107 games
Night StalkerSkyLark
Night Stalker
Pangolier
Pangolierforcemajor
48% · 163 games47% · 256 games
SnapfireLil
Snapfire
Bane
BaneSoNNeikO
59% · 249 games49% · 88 games
SilencerSsaSpartan
Silencer
Game 3prediction missed39:13
Winstrike Team 49%Brame 51%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 33:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaLarl
57% · 176 games46% · 122 games
MedusaNefrit
Medusa
Ursa
UrsaDaxak
52% · 161 game48% · 159 games
Queen of PainW1sh-
Queen of Pain
Night Stalker
Night StalkerNoticed
63% · 92 games46% · 73 games
Legion CommanderSkyLark
Legion Commander
Jakiro
JakiroSoNNeikO
47% · 52 games41% · 176 games
GrimstrokeLil
Grimstroke
Dark Willow
Dark Willowforcemajor
51% · 160 games49% · 111 games
PhoenixSsaSpartan
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 56%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3