?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Brameloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 20 games
75%
Mars
Marssignature
Noticed · 18 games
72%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 16 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 15 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 14 games
71%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
SoNNeikO · 13 games
62%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 12 games
75%

Brame

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 21 game
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
60%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
76%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 15 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
60%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
532 picks · 372 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 650 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
423 picks · 516 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
410 picks · 858 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
360 picks · 185 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
329 picks · 532 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 514 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
268 picks · 183 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total55% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:8
Winstrike Team 52%Brame 48%
The model gave 52% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 38:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaDaxak
45% · 102 games53% · 92 games
DoomSkyLark
Doom
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
43% · 220 games52% · 240 games
Wraith KingFocus
Wraith King
Mars
MarsNoticed
47% · 358 games57% · 233 games
KunkkaW1sh-
Kunkka
Chen
ChenSoNNeikO
53% · 28 games56% · 74 games
SilencerSsaSpartan
Silencer
Dark Willow
Dark Willowforcemajor
47% · 133 games52% · 202 games
IoMaybe Next Time
Io
Game 2prediction correct38:9
Winstrike Team 54%Brame 46%
The model gave 54% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 37:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetLarl
53% · 186 games58% · 213 games
Templar AssassinFocus
Templar Assassin
Weaver
WeaverDaxak
60% · 272 games47% · 362 games
Void SpiritW1sh-
Void Spirit
Mars
MarsNoticed
51% · 338 games31% · 62 games
UnderlordSkyLark
Underlord
Rubick
Rubickforcemajor
45% · 138 games46% · 95 games
UndyingSsaSpartan
Undying
Abaddon
AbaddonSoNNeikO
51% · 183 games52% · 385 games
BaneMaybe Next Time
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 55%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2