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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Phoenix
Phoenix
yamich · 19 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
re1bl · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
yamich · 12 games
58%
Lion
Lion
yamich · 12 games
25%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
chshrct · 10 games
60%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
dyrachyo · 10 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
re1bl · 9 games
22%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
432 picks · 172 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
325 picks · 526 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 474 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
307 picks · 173 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
304 picks · 628 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
304 picks · 768 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
281 picks · 362 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
277 picks · 223 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:20
Winstrike Team 34%Chicken Fighters 66%
The model gave 66% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 25:43.
Game 2prediction correct6:26
Winstrike Team 34%Chicken Fighters 66%
The model gave 66% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 23:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 66%
Series resultChicken Fighters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2