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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Winstrike Teamwin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
V-Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Winstrike Team

Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
chshrct · 18 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
mellojul · 17 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 13 games
77%
Bane
Bane
Panto · 12 games
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Panto · 12 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 12 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
yamich · 11 games
64%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 34 games
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 32 games
63%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 29 games
66%
Invoker
Invokersignature
hAze · 28 games
61%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
hAze · 27 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 25 games
60%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
laise · 24 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
519 picks · 368 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
461 picks · 659 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 509 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
407 picks · 859 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 192 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
318 picks · 527 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
312 picks · 487 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
264 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% Winstrike Team
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total62% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:3
Winstrike Team 44%V-Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 16:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaDaxak
47% · 132 games44% · 114 games
Legion Commanderlaise
Legion Commander
Puck
PuckLarl
46% · 264 games54% · 161 game
RazorTA2000
Razor
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerNoticed
51% · 126 games50% · 172 games
Storm SpirithAze
Storm Spirit
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeforcemajor
44% · 219 games53% · 190 games
IoArrOw
Io
Dark Willow
Dark WillowALWAYSWANNAFLY
52% · 151 game59% · 255 games
Nyx AssassinAntares
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct14:26
Winstrike Team 45%V-Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 27:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracLarl
59% · 107 games54% · 139 games
WeaverTA2000
Weaver
Night Stalker
Night StalkerDaxak
43% · 76 games48% · 167 games
LinahAze
Lina
Jakiro
JakiroNoticed
53% · 61 game46% · 130 games
Spirit Breakerlaise
Spirit Breaker
Io
Ioforcemajor
51% · 168 games50% · 4 games
TechiesAntares
Techies
Dark Willow
Dark WillowALWAYSWANNAFLY
51% · 167 games45% · 139 games
DisruptorArrOw
Disruptor
Game 3prediction missed33:22
Winstrike Team 44%V-Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Winstrike Team in 42:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingDaxak
49% · 183 games53% · 158 games
KunkkaTA2000
Kunkka
Zeus
ZeusLarl
30% · 8 games53% · 163 games
Death ProphethAze
Death Prophet
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerNoticed
57% · 173 games50% · 65 games
Axelaise
Axe
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeforcemajor
41% · 216 games48% · 131 game
Shadow DemonAntares
Shadow Demon
Disruptor
DisruptorALWAYSWANNAFLY
47% · 150 games56% · 213 games
WeaverArrOw
Weaver
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 62%
Series resultWinstrike Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3