DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWINTRADERswin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDDibujitos de fbloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WINTRADERs
No games played over 6 months.
Dibujitos de fb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
349 picks · 330 bans
Hoodwink
340 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 490 bans
Snapfire
304 picks · 265 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 393 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 453 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% WINTRADERs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Dibujitos de fb
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
WINTRADERs 42%Dibujitos de fb 58%
The model gave 58% on Dibujitos de fb — the game was taken by WINTRADERs.
Game 2prediction missed
WINTRADERs 42%Dibujitos de fb 58%
The model gave 58% on Dibujitos de fb — the game was taken by WINTRADERs.
Model check result
Model favoriteDibujitos de fb · 58%
Series resultWINTRADERs 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2