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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
WITCHloss 0:1
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

WITCH

No games played over 6 months.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Askold · 8 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 8 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 6 games
67%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Blizzy · 6 games
83%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Zayac · 5 games
80%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Askold · 5 games
80%
Io
Iooften banned
Muka · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
268 picks · 394 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
267 picks · 394 bans
46%
Monkey King
Monkey King
260 picks · 631 bans
61%
Bane
Bane
241 picks · 174 bans
60%
Lina
Lina
217 picks · 480 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
215 picks · 108 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
213 picks · 406 bans
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
209 picks · 266 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 78%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect