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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamwin 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wolf Team

No games played over 6 months.

Infinity Esports

Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 14 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 13 games
38%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 11 games
27%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cys · 11 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
57%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 7 games
57%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
17%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Nuages · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 463 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
435 picks · 671 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
417 picks · 529 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
392 picks · 268 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
376 picks · 839 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
343 picks · 565 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 640 bans
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
329 picks · 658 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Wolf Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:25
Wolf Team 49%Infinity Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 44:30.
Game 2prediction correct44:13
Wolf Team 49%Infinity Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 28:35.
Game 3prediction correct26:46
Wolf Team 49%Infinity Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 45:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 51%
Series resultWolf Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3