BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamwin 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team DogChamploss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 8 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
568 picks · 438 bans
Marci
455 picks · 640 bans
Dawnbreaker
349 picks · 476 bans
Puck
340 picks · 767 bans
Death Prophet
300 picks · 494 bans
Winter Wyvern
293 picks · 376 bans
Dazzle
252 picks · 161 bans
Batrider
250 picks · 816 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:19
Wolf Team 53%Team DogChamp 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 35:49.
Game 2prediction missed37:23
Wolf Team 53%Team DogChamp 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 30:35.
Game 3prediction missed35:11
Wolf Team 53%Team DogChamp 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 26:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 53%
Series resultWolf Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3