The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
x5 Gamingwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zetta Gamesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
x5 Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Hermit · 7 games
Sniperoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 3 games
Chenoften banned
555k · 3 games
Centaur Warrunner
Hermit · 2 games
Disruptor
555k · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Zetta Games
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Hoodwink
Pamplona · 2 games
Necrophosoften banned
NeKo · 2 games
Phoenixoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Pudge
NeKo · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
NeKo · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
634 picks · 431 bans
Rubick
549 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
492 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 401 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
Puck
357 picks · 1017 bans
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 537 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 305 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% Zetta Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% x5 Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:33
x5 Gaming 63%Zetta Games 37%
The model gave 63% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 38:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfiremini-`
WindrangerNeKo
55% · 56 games
PhoenixPamplona
Game 2prediction correct0:40
x5 Gaming 65%Zetta Games 35%
The model gave 65% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 44:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey Kingmini-`
Nature's ProphetPamplona
little data
Vengeful SpiritNeKo
Model check result
Model favoritex5 Gaming · 76%
Series resultx5 Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2