BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
XERXIAloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Mirana
Shanks · 13 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Tino- · 12 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Bob · 11 games
Earthshakersignature
Shanks · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 10 games
Pudgesignature
Palos · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 10 games
Enigmaoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 601 bans
Undying
318 picks · 560 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 202 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 476 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 340 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 723 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 253 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 115 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:42
XERXIA 50%Execration 50%
The model gave 50% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 54:44.
Game 2prediction correct50:22
XERXIA 50%Execration 50%
The model gave 50% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 32:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2