BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
XERXIAloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lilgunloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
319 picks · 205 bans
Undying
312 picks · 560 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 481 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 362 bans
Tusk
216 picks · 133 bans
Enigma
215 picks · 729 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 18%
Hero pool strength50% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% XERXIA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:30
XERXIA 59%Lilgun 41%
The model gave 59% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Lilgun in 52:49.
Game 2prediction missed39:23
XERXIA 59%Lilgun 41%
The model gave 59% on XERXIA — the game was taken by Lilgun in 43:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteXERXIA · 59%
Accuracy by game0 of 2