Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aster.Arieswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Storm · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Storm · 4 games
Windranger
Storm · 4 games
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Aster.Aries
Marsoften banned
生死 · 10 games
Grimstrokesignature
Fantasy · 8 games
Puckoften banned
phoenix · 8 games
Abaddon
Fantasy · 7 games
Death Prophetoften banned
生死 · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
phoenix · 7 games
Tusk
Fantasy · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
Ulu · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
408 picks · 985 bans
Void Spirit
368 picks · 529 bans
Mars
351 picks · 569 bans
Death Prophet
339 picks · 706 bans
Grimstroke
334 picks · 333 bans
Lion
312 picks · 171 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 227 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Aster.Aries
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAster.Aries · 67%
Series resultAster.Aries 0:2
Series predictioncorrect