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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 28 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 21 game
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 21 game
48%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 20 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 19 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
71%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Xm · 17 games
76%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
74%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
379 picks · 648 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 364 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
312 picks · 445 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
303 picks · 558 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
291 picks · 188 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
291 picks · 180 bans
49%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
282 picks · 105 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total57% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:14
Xtreme Gaming 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 33:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenAme
48% · 178 games52% · 141 game
LifestealerNightfall
Lifestealer
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
56% · 32 games41% · 161 game
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Brewmaster
BrewmasterXxs
51% · 171 game50% · 127 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Rubick
RubickXinQ
48% · 329 games54% · 99 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDy
56% · 11 games54% · 193 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct10:4
Xtreme Gaming 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 29:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
49% · 89 games51% · 223 games
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
46% · 28 games57% · 111 games
Chaos KnightNightfall
Chaos Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
51% · 229 games47% · 124 games
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Rubick
RubickXinQ
50% · 185 games43% · 20 games
Ogre MagiTORONTOTOKYO
Ogre Magi
Sven
SvenDy
46% · 153 games53% · 206 games
GrimstrokeSave-
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 57%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2