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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 25 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 21 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 21 game
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 20 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
niu · 20 games
70%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 19 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 17 games
71%

BOOM Esports

Batrider
Batrider
Tims · 22 games
59%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Mac · 21 game
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 19 games
58%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 19 games
47%
Lion
Lion
Tims · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 483 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 546 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
356 picks · 166 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
275 picks · 534 bans
47%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 511 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
259 picks · 369 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
257 picks · 148 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:26
Xtreme Gaming 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 43:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterAme
52% · 343 games48% · 454 games
TinyJaCkky
Tiny
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
54% · 227 games43% · 243 games
TerrorbladeJabz
Terrorblade
Sand King
Sand KingXm
54% · 270 games51% · 300 games
Storm SpiritArmel
Storm Spirit
Slark
SlarkXinQ
49% · 95 games48% · 219 games
RingmasterTims
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroPoloson
50% · 440 games51% · 159 games
Elder TitanJaunuel
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct24:16
Xtreme Gaming 55%BOOM Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 34:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerAme
53% · 152 games51% · 345 games
TinyJaCkky
Tiny
Monkey King
Monkey KingXm
54% · 249 games49% · 59 games
LeshracArmel
Leshrac
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanXinQ
52% · 120 games46% · 147 games
Sand KingJabz
Sand King
Magnus
MagnusXxs
56% · 202 games46% · 110 games
RingmasterTims
Ringmaster
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPoloson
47% · 176 games46% · 238 games
JakiroJaunuel
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2