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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 24 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
53%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 16 games
75%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Xm · 15 games
73%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 14 games
86%

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 213 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 736 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
396 picks · 559 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 160 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 339 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 757 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 555 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 47%
Hero pool strength60% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:5
Xtreme Gaming 75%G2 Invictus Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 27:14.
Game 2prediction correct47:36
Xtreme Gaming 75%G2 Invictus Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 1:07:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 75%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2