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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
GamerLegionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 20 games
65%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 20 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 16 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 16 games
88%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
fy · 14 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 13 games
38%

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 18 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 18 games
56%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 15 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 14 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 14 games
36%
Viper
Viperoften banned
YamSun · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 11 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
632 picks · 979 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
522 picks · 438 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 632 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 1021 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 478 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
435 picks · 263 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 513 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
414 picks · 566 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:34
Xtreme Gaming 56%GamerLegion 44%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 52:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
LargoXxs
48% · 52 games53% · 252 games
BeastmasterYamSun
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
45% · 422 games46% · 190 games
Queen of PainRCY
Queen of Pain
Windranger
WindrangerAme
51% · 191 game50% · 187 games
TidehunterFayde
Tidehunter
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightfy
53% · 115 games52% · 118 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Phoenix
PhoenixxNova
47% · 177 games54% · 210 games
Shadow DemonBignum
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct27:27
Xtreme Gaming 54%GamerLegion 46%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackAme
54% · 211 games51% · 44 games
OmniknightYamSun
Omniknight
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendNothingToSay
48% · 156 games47% · 89 games
RazorRCY
Razor
Sand King
Sand KingXxs
47% · 161 game56% · 114 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanfy
52% · 230 games47% · 533 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Phoenix
PhoenixxNova
45% · 152 games51% · 130 games
ClockwerkBignum
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2