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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 29 games
62%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
52%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 26 games
62%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 26 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 23 games
61%

LGD Gaming

Kez
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 3 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axe
Wisper · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 345 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 363 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 523 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
326 picks · 859 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
319 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:28
Xtreme Gaming 51%LGD Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 40:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidAme
58% · 42 games54% · 135 games
TimbersawWisper
Timbersaw
Sniper
SniperNothingToSay
52% · 71 game51% · 283 games
TinyYuma
Tiny
Axe
AxeXxs
45% · 189 games55% · 70 games
HuskarTaiLung
Huskar
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
46% · 371 game44% · 110 games
TechiesThiolicor
Techies
Lich
LichxNova
44% · 61 game56% · 136 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 51%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1