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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 1:0
REKONIXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 18 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
82%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
fy · 14 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 13 games
38%
Leshrac
Leshrac
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 21 game
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 9 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
610 picks · 940 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 437 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
488 picks · 643 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
484 picks · 646 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 960 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 654 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 536 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
386 picks · 236 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:24
Xtreme Gaming 76%REKONIX 24%
The model gave 76% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzAme
57% · 73 games49% · 127 games
Shadow FiendTraVins
Shadow Fiend
Slardar
SlardarXxs
53% · 257 games51% · 93 games
Primal BeastFbz
Primal Beast
Razor
RazorNothingToSay
49% · 85 games43% · 294 games
TinyinYourdreaM
Tiny
Batrider
Batriderfy
53% · 353 games49% · 153 games
Shadow Shamandalul
Shadow Shaman
Elder Titan
Elder TitanxNova
53% · 106 games44% · 207 games
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 88%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1